Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Fighting my football fandom

I love football. I have for decades now (man, I'm getting old).

It's the final Sunday of the 2013 regular season, and I've dragged Mom and Dad in front of the TV. OK, maybe Mom only came downstairs because '60 Minutes' comes on after the game, but that's not the point. I sit on the edge of the same futon that's occupied my parents' Ann Arbor basement for seemingly an eternity, transfixed by the action on the 32-inch LCD screen in front of me.

I practically announce the action as Kansas City converts a crucial third down, informing Mom — not that she cares — that the Chief will now be able to run the clock all the way down before kicking a game-winning field goal that will send the Chargers to the offseason and the Pittsburgh Steelers to the playoffs.

Then improbable happens — as it so often does in this riveting, unpredictable sport. A field goal sails wide right. Overtime! The Chargers fake a punt at their own 30-yard line and get the first down ... barely. San Diego wins. Steelers fans lose their minds.

I only see half the plays in overtime, though, because I'm driving Mom and Dad crazy with a serious thumb workout — switching back and forth between the Chargers game and the Bears-Packers winner-take-all affair on Fox.

Green Bay converts a fourth-down to save its season. Green Bay faces another fourth down. Aaron Rodgers, arguably the sport's best player, evades a strong Bears pass rush, keeps his eyes upfield, and throws a perfect, spiraling ball into the hands of Randall Cobb. Touchdown Green Bay! Packers win! (after a last-ditch Bears Hail Mary is unsuccessful).

How can you not love that? Is there a more entertaining and gripping 30 minutes of television?

I think not. I love football!

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Late Sunday night, I think back to that Rodgers pass. Gosh, it was perfect. And he was so coordinated, so attuned to what was going on around him, able to avoid the 300-pound bloodthirsty Bears and calmly, stepping to his left, unleash the impeccable ball.

Aaron Rodgers, when healthy, is amazing. But will he always have such a presence of mind? Will his brain always be so healthy, even after retirement when he doesn't have to memorize a playbook and the tendencies of NFL defenses?

"I don't remember my daughter playing soccer, playing youth soccer, one summer. I don't remember that. I got a pretty good memory, and I have a tendency like we all do to say, 'Where are my glasses?' and they're on your head. This was pretty shocking to me that I couldn't remember my daughter playing youth soccer, just one summer, I think. I remember her playing basketball, I remember her playing volleyball, so I kind of think maybe she only played a game or two. I think she played eight. So that's a little bit scary to me."

"For the first time in 44 years, that put a little fear in me."


-- Brett Favre, 44 years old


Favre, now that he's officially retired, is no longer in the American public's spotlight. But he's still relatively young. And he's a bit scared that the 321-game playing streak we all glorified and we're in awe of during his playing days may now be having adverse effects on his health — symptoms such as memory loss that he can't control and have been linked to chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), a disease that has been found in the brains of several former athletes who suffered repeated hits to the head during their careers.


Could Rodgers, seemingly invincible on Sunday, end up vulnerable like Favre in his mid-40s? It's doubtful, but possible. After all, what you see on your television screen on Sundays is no representation of the damage the sport of football has on its athletes, especially at the highest level.

This was summed up perfectly by former player Nate Jackson in his tell-all book about life in the NFL, 'Slow Getting Up.'

“Consuming the product through a television screen, at a safe distance, dehumanizes the athlete and makes his pain unreal. The more you watch it, the less real it becomes, until the players are nothing more than pixelated video game characters to be bartered and traded.”

This is why football is still, overwhelmingly, America's favorite sport. This is why millions of Americans plan their Sunday afternoons and nights around huddling in front of the television, drinking beers, eating snacks, making chili, and watching figures on the screen do extraordinary things.


We cringe when there's a 'big hit,' and clasp our hands together in prayer when a player is taken off the field on a stretcher. Ten minutes later, that's forgotten; the next big play is about to happen, and the fallen player's replacement has a job to do. We've moved on. We live in the moment.

We don't see the injections of Toradol hundreds of players take before every game just to survive the three hours pain-free — before it returns to make them miserable Sunday night and into Monday, and maybe Tuesday. If only the average fan saw what occurs in an NFL training room to get players ready to batter their bodies every Sunday, maybe football wouldn't be so popular.

Or maybe the American public simply doesn't care. Football is just entertainment after all, right?

“Last night after meetings I lined up for the needle again: 60 milligrams of Toradol, a powerful anti-inflammatory and painkiller. Ten or fifteen of us rely on it every game, physically and mentally. We live in pain during the week. We want to feel good on game day and adrenaline isn’t enough anymore.” 

— Nate Jackson, 'Slow Getting Up'


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I've always been a football guy.

Growing up, I attended a Waldorf K-8 school. Sports weren't emphasized. That didn't stop my classmates and I from playing football during almost all of our recesses. At first, we'd play two-hand touch; as we got older, tackling was introduced.

In grade school, I learned about button-hooks, fades, flags, comebacks, quick slants and more.

When my family moved across from Hunt Park in Ann Arbor, my Dad and I would walk across the street before every Michigan football game to predict who would win. It didn't matter if it was mid-November and the temperature was in the 20s — we would give each team four downs, and Dad would throw patterns to me down and around the trees that dotted the hillside to try to reach the end zone (also indicated by a tree).

Finally, we'd decide it was the last possession or each team got the ball once more, only because the real Michigan game — if a home game, just a mile from our house — was starting.

On Sundays, my parents knew not to bother me. I was usually glued to our 20-inch, rounded TV screen. First I'd watch the Detroit Lions, and they'd often let me down (as any Lions fan can attest they still do). I'll never forget the time I almost threw something at the screen (I can't remember what) when Johnny Morton or a receiver I can't remember dropped a pass.

I wasn't just a fan of teams, though. I was a fan of the game. When the 4:15 (or now 4:25) games came on, I'd be back in the basement, especially if it was a game with playoff implications. Mom would inevitably call down around 6:30pm that dinner was ready; she knew what my response would always be — "I'm watching the game!"

My birthday is Christmas Eve and my family always goes out to dinner at an Ann Arbor restaurant. One year, it was an NFL Sunday. We went to Outback Steakhouse. Before we sat down, I insisted in sitting at the bar to watch the end of the Cincinnati-Denver game because it carried playoff implications.

Who does that?

On Mondays, immediately upon returning from school, I would open the Ann Arbor News sports section to the NFL page and browse the standings and box scores (and this was before my fantasy football days). I would analyze internally teams' playoff chances and look ahead to the following week's schedule.

This didn't change during my days at Albion College. I refused to miss games. If my fraternity brothers were going out to eat, I stayed behind to watch the end of the late-afternoon game. One year when they changed the channel to the Lingerie Bowl during the Super Bowl, I almost blew a gasket.

My love of football, and its drama, and its strategies, and its brilliance didn't wane then. And it stayed strong during my first two years out of college in Durham, NC. And my first few years living in Washington, DC. In each place, as my friends got to know me, they realized inviting me to a Sunday dinner during the fall was fruitless. I'd be watching football.

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I have a hard time pinning down when I began viewing the NFL — and, really, football as a whole — through a critical lens, but it wasn't too long ago. One, maybe two years. My change in thinking has been helped by the mainstream media attention that has finally been given to the myriad issues the sport faces, but especially brain damage that is caused by concussions and CTE.

Did you know that:
  • Autopsies of more than 50 former NFL players showed signs of CTE
  • At least seven former NFL players who were later found to have had CTE committed suicide
  • While CTE can't currently be diagnosed in a living human, its signs (depression, memory loss, disorientation, violence, hopelessness, suicidal thoughts) are evident in many former living players, including Hall of Famer Tony Dorsett, who often forgets where he's driving on the highway
"I'm just hoping and praying I can find a way to cut it off at the pass." — Tony Dorsett, 59

Did you know that:
  • Former Denver Bronco Karl Mecklenburg takes a photo of the front of his hotel every morning so he can find his way back to it at night.
  • Former San Diego Chargers great Junior Seau shot himself in the chest when committing suicide; this allowed his brain to be studied for CTE, which it had. He's far from the first former player to do this.
  • Former Chicago Bears quarterback Jim McMahon, 54, often forgets what he's doing or what he just said or did.
“Please, see that my brain is given to the NFL’s brain bank.” — Dave Duerson, former Chicago Bear, in a suicide note before shooting himself in the chest 

These are just a handful of examples taken from hundreds of cases of former football players who are literally losing their minds. For some of them, the symptoms are severe (suicide); for others, they're bad (a scary level of forgetfulness); for others, at least at a young age, they're minor inconveniences (Favre's case).

Add them all up, and that's why I have a hard time stomaching the sport of football. I can't go a few weeks without hearing about a new case of CTE, a former player saying they can't remember where they're driving, or — the worst — a suicide.

What do you do when a player lands a hit that rattles his opponent's helmet? I used to get pumped up and excited, but not anymore. Now I think about that player's brain, which is rattling inside his skull. It might turn out to be OK, or it might already be deteriorating.

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Whenever I bring up the issue of brain damage in football players to my sports-loving friends, there's a common retort: "Yeah, well, they choose to play football."

They're right, of course. No player in the NFL is forced to play the sport. Just from watching a game on TV, they know what they're getting into at a young age. They see the big hits, they see the dozens of injuries that happen during a given game. Heck, just from playing fantasy football it's easy to realize how violent professional football is based on how often you need to change your lineup. Next man up!

But what most football-loving Americans don't realize is that these players have been misled. By their own league. Despite mountains of evidence by the United States' most established and well-respected neurologists, to this day the National Football League denies the undisputed fact that there is a very clear link between playing football and brain damage.

For the past 20 years, the league has done everything in its power — and it is very powerful — to silence those who have proven the link. This is why the $765 million settlement of a lawsuit brought by 4,500 former players was a huge win for the league, which rakes in more than $9 billion annually — and is aiming for $25 billion by 2027 — and is the most lucrative sports entity in the world. It avoided months upon months of litigation under the public eye.

Since the early 1990s, when stories began reaching the surface about concussions, the NFL has used all its resources — similar to Big Tobacco — to deny what neurologists were proving. The league went as far to create the Mild Traumatic Brain Injury Committee in 1994, led by a rheumatologist with zero — zilch, nada — experience in examining brains.

I won't go into all the details, but they're all laid out in thick, objective facts in the outstanding book 'League of Denial' and the PBS 'Frontline' documentary 'League of Denial: The NFL's Concussion Crisis.' In summary, the committee refuted all the emerging science that was laid bare beginning in the late 1990s and gained momentum after Mike Webster's brain — following his 2002 suicide — was the first to be found with CTE by Pittsburgh forensic pathologist Dr. Bennet Omalu. Until the last few years, even, players were routinely sent back on the playing field after suffering concussions. 

Today, especially after the documentary and book, the information connecting playing football and brain injuries is ubiquitous. There are new articles every week, new disclosures of former players showing signs of CTE. But go back a decade, or even five years, and this was all under the surface — swept there by the NFL.

Meanwhile, the league, and the bogus committee, released innocuous reports about the number of concussions players suffered — at least the documented ones; there are hundreds more — and developed literature about the risks of playing football and taking hits to the head.

Nothing, of course, noted the link I've now mentioned a dozen times.

So when a friend gives that answer about players knowing the dangers, I disagree. Yes, they were aware of football being a violent sport. But unless they dug deep — and who wants to do that when you've got a dense playbook to learn, a non-guaranteed contract to earn! — they wouldn't have known what the concussions potentially added up to.

Instead, players were ingrained in the NFL's culture, which is so well explained in Jackson's honest, forthcoming and unbiased account of life in the league. Basically, the mantra is this: If you can walk, you play. If it takes Toradol shots before every game, so be it. If you're concussed, get checked out, "remove the cobwebs" (as broadcasters would always say), and get back on the field.

Otherwise, it's next man up. Did I mention the non-guaranteed contracts?

He was just a few blessed hours from having his leg amputated. He played games, plural, with a hidden and taped catheter running from his armpit to his heart. His calf was oozing blood for so many months, from September of one year to February of another, that he had to have the equivalent of a drain installed. This is a story of the private pain endured in pursuit of public glory, just one man’s broken body on a battlefield littered with thousands of them. 

— Dan Le Batard, Miami Herald column about former player Jason Taylor


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Of all the statistics about the world's most dangerous team sport, this one from a 2013 Washington Post poll of 500 retired players, to me, is the most revealing:


Wow. These are men who dedicated their lives to the sport. Who sacrificed their bodies for their teammates. Who made all kinds of personal life concessions to play football at the highest level. And the majority of them don't think youth should play football.

That's saying something. 

It says that those polled are, finally, well informed of the risks directly linked to their former sport. Perhaps they're also aware of the recommendation made by Dr. Robert Cantu — one of the leading neurosurgeons and researchers of brain trauma in former football players — that no child under the age of 14 should play tackle football. Period.  

Cantu, one of the many scientists who has studied the effect of head injuries since Webster's 2002 death, made such a claim in 2012. This past fall, not only was it publicized that Pop Warner participation from 2010-12 was down across the country, but an NFL-funded report — yes, the league is doing everything expect acknowledge the aforementioned link — revealed that high school football players are twice as likely as college players to suffer a brain injury. 

Worse than that, consider the six documented deaths from football collisions at the high school level in 2013. These five summaries (one death not included) are taken directly from this Nov. 15 BuzzFeed article:

  • 17-year-old Jaleel Gipson of Farmerville, La. died in May from a broken back suffered during what coaches called a “textbook” tackle. 
  • 16-year-old De’Antre Turman of College Park, Ga. died during a preseason scrimmage in August, breaking his neck during a tackle. His uncle told the local CBS affiliate in Atlanta that it was “a regular hit that he’s made 1,000 times.” 
  • 16-year-old Damon Janes of Brocton, N.Y. died in September after a helmet-to-helmet hit in a game. He staggered to his feet but collapsed once he reached the sidelines. Three days later, he was dead. His teammates took a vote and agreed to forfeit the rest of the season. 
  • 17-year-old Dylan Jeffries of Lost Creek, W. Va., died in October from injuries sustained during a game on Sept. 27. He was rushed to the local hospital with a blood clot in his brain and put into a medically induced coma. He died less than two weeks later. 
  • 17-year-old Chad Stover of Tipton, Mo. died just yesterday after being taken off life support for brain injuries suffered during a game on Oct. 31.
Six deaths is six too many. No parent should have to ponder how their child died from playing on their high school sports team.



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And yet, the football machine rolls along, seemingly invincible and immune to any and all attacks made on the sport. Sure, youth football participation is down, but coaches are embracing teaching 'Head Up' tackling — ask any high-level player if keeping your head up every play and surviving a football season is feasible. They'll laugh. There's also the fact that in some football casualties, that proper technique was being used.

There's never been more scrutiny around the sport's safety, yet college football and the NFL have never been more popular. The top TV program in the United States? Sunday Night Football. A stinker of a Monday Night Football game drew a larger audience than Game 1 of the World Series. The Philadelphia-Washington Week 1 MNF game had the most viewers ever for a Week 1 MNF game.

And I already mentioned the staggering — and increasing — revenue.

In a way, it all makes sense. Being a football fan is easy. It's not inconvenient (unless you're an active person on Sundays). The season is short. The games are always at 1pm, 4:15/25pm and 8:20pm. It sure is simpler than trying to follow an 82-game NBA season, and let's not even get into the 162-game baseball slog.

Every game matters. In a 16-contest season, a couple losses in a row could doom your team's chances of winning the division or making the playoffs. 

Oh, and there's fantasy football. It's kind of popular — and gaining more participants by the season.

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And the top reason football is still, by far, America's No. 1 sport: It's incredibly entertaining. 

I think back to Oct. 6 of this past fall. In August, I had told myself I wouldn't watch the NFL this season. I'd read enough — the incredible volume of injuries, the suicides, the arrests, the ridiculous locker room culture that would later come under the spotlight thanks to Richie Incognito (all summed up by a much better and award-winning writer Thomas Boswell). 

As I sat in the Jacksonville airport awaiting my flight back to Washington, DC, from a wedding, I could hear the volume from every TV in the terminal — the Peyton Manning-led Broncos were playing America's team, the Cowboys. And they were engaged in a classic offensive shootout. I checked the score on my phone. The points were adding up, as the game headed to the fourth quarter. Still, I stayed stuck to my seat and consumed myself with a few episodes of 'Breaking Bad.'

It ended up being a tremendous game and finish, watched by millions. A part of me hated missing it. I felt like I was going through a withdrawal of sorts — my Sunday afternoon thrown in disarray. 

But how can I talk about the NFL's denial campaign and football's incredible dangers if I'm endorsing the product by watching it and boosting TV ratings? It doesn't matter if I'm viewing the games through a different, cynical lens. Or if I cringe rather than celebrate each skull-rattling hit. I'm still approving of it.

I liken it to the meat industry. You can talk about how much you love farm animals and how you can't stand the hurting of animals. But if you're buying factory-farmed meat — i.e. 99 percent of what's out there — you're at least indirectly supporting the torturing of chickens, pigs or cows (depending on your preference). Of course, you're not standing inside the butcher factory watching the carnage, much like you're not standing on an NFL sideline witnessing the brutality of professional football.

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And yet, as I write this, I doubt I'll be able to avoid the NFL playoffs. Something tells me I'll be in front of a TV this Saturday and Sunday, once again pulled to the heart-stopping drama and late-game heroics of America's pastime (sorry, baseball).

Even if that's the case, I'll consider this season progress in my goal to not just blindly enjoy the game that's only made feasible by rampant drug use; that shuffles players in and out of lineups and on and off teams like they aren't human; and that in no way, as long as helmets are around, is becoming safer. It wasn't easy, but I watched maybe a cumulative five games during the regular-season, only played in one fantasy football league — and only to stay in touch with college friends — and at least started those conversations with friends, never easy, about the game we all so love.

In turning 30, I also have an ever-increasing number of friends with kids. When I see them, I ask another question: Would you let your kid, whether in Pop Warner or high school, play football when there are so many other sports out there with all of the same benefits of being on a team?

The responses lean toward "yes" but not unanimously. That, to me, is a start. No thanks to the NFL — and despite the soaring ratings — people are getting the message about football's dangers. 

They must have healthy brains.

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Good Reads about the NFL, brain injuries and more
This blog was influenced by my personal experiences, but also by tons of reading I've done over the past couple years. First and foremost, I recommend reading 'League of Denial,' but here are several articles (and a book) that have helped inform my view on this topic and freed up my Sunday afternoons during the fall. 

Sunday, October 27, 2013

My NBA preview: 30 teams, five different objectives (one is not good)

Two days!

That's how close we are to the dawning of another NBA season. And the storylines abound.

Can the Heat three-peat? Can the geriatric Nets stay healthy enough to make their luxury-tax-paying Russian oligarch look smart? Can the 76ers avoid breaking their own record for futility? Can LeBron be any better? Can KD be any better? When will Kobe come back?

The list goes on and on.

But for the sake of simplification — and because this is a blog; not a book or a Bill Simmons blog — I'm going to jump right into my NBA preview by breaking up the teams (listed in the order I think they'll finish in their conference) by their objectives for the season.

It might be the easy way out, but, hey, isn't that what a handful of teams will be doing when they sit their top players come March and April with "back stiffness?"

See below.

Categories

  • Playing to win (PW): Teams that are in this thing to win the NBA 'ship in June.
  • Playing for the playoffs (PP): Teams that just want to make the postseason, where they won't last long. In many cases, these teams have GMs who won't be around next year if their teams don't qualify for the postseason.
  • Playing for Wiggins: Simple. Teams that will be horrible and hope to win out at the draft lottery and get the No. 1 pick to (most likely) select Andrew Wiggins.
  • Playing for LeBron: Teams whose prime objective this season will be to make themselves look good enough and appealing enough to attract the world's best player during free agency.
  • Shit, I don't know (SIDK): Teams that aren't making much sense with their personnel moves and will be irrelevant for most of the season.
Eastern Conference
1) Miami Heat: Two storylines to watch before the playoffs — can LeBron be even better? And can Greg Oden stay healthy and be a factor. PW

2) Chicago Bulls: Yep, 95 percent of America was wrong. What's new? Derrick Rose knew what was best for him despite the intense criticism, and now he's fully healed. Watch out, East. PW

3) Indiana Pacers: So what's new for the team that came within a game of taking down the mighty Heat? Well, they get back a healthy Danny Granger and swapped Tyler Hansbrough for Luis Scola. I'd call that a productive offseason. PW

4) New Jersey Nets: A couple thoughts — their backcourt of Deron Williams and Joe Johnson is overrated; their frontcourt of old guys KG and Paul Pierce plus Brook Lopez is underrated. PW

5) New York Knicks: They'll finish in the middle of the East and maybe even win a playoff series. That, however, doesn't mean they have a clue what they're doing long-term besides hoping for LeBron. SIDK, PFL

6) Atlanta Hawks: Of all the coaching changes this offseason (quick, name two!), this one is so under-the-radar, I bet most Hawks fans don't know the guy. But Gregg Popovich disciple Mike Budenholzer will keep the team a reach-the-playoffs-and-lose-early-every-year outfit. PP

7) Detroit Pistons: If the Pistons don't make the playoffs after acquiring Josh Smith and Brandon Jennings, Joe Dumars is done as GM. Pressure's on. PP

8) Washington Wizards: The Wizards are in the same boat. The late acquisition of Marcin Gortat should get them to the postseason if they can stay relatively healthy, which was their undoing last season. PP

9) Cleveland Cavaliers: The Cavaliers' main goal under Mike Brown (hey, welcome back!) is for the young nucleus to learn how to play defense and to look good enough to bring back another former Cav next summer... PFL

10) Toronto Raptors: Assuming no move is made involving Rudy "I like to shoot a low percentage" Gay, Toronto — and its awesome fan base — will push for a playoff spot and come up just short. PP

11) Charlotte Bobcats: I'm sorry, but Michael Jordan is as bad at being a GM as he was good/great/legendary at playing. He's terrible (see Jefferson, Al; Gordon, Ben; Zeller, Cody). Charlotte will be just good/bad enough not to make the playoffs OR give itself a decent shot at Wiggins. SIDK

12) Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee was smart to rid itself of Brandon Jennings and let Monta Ellis go shoot a lot and play no defense for Dallas. Still, the Bucks aren't attracting any free agents beyond O.J. Mayo and have pieces that don't fit. Maybe a draft pick could help... PFW

13) Boston Celtics: If Rajon Rondo isn't traded and plays a healthy season, combined with Brad Stevens on the sideline, they might not be as bad as they should be. That, of course, isn't what the fan base wants. PFW

14) Orlando Magic: You know what would be fun — Victor Oladipo paired up with a certain college freshman next season. PFW

15) Philadelphia 76ers: No team is more transparent about its goals. GM and analytics guru Sam Hinkie ditched Jrue Holiday, traded for a rookie who's out for the year  (Nerlens Noel) and has a lineup that includes Thaddeus Young, Evan Turner and Spencer Hawes. Yeesh... PFW

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Western Conference
1) L.A. Clippers: This squad could be the paradigm of the "Can a much better coach make a difference?" test, with Doc Rivers taking over for Vinny Del Negro. If Doc can turn DeAndre Jordan into a serviceable free-throw shooter in addition to being a dominant defender, watch out. PW

2) Oklahoma City Thunder: If healthy, this team will be playing in the Western Conference Finals. Its objectives are clear. PW

3) San Antonio Spurs: The Spurs and St. Louis Cardinals are the two most well-run organizations in American professional sports. Don't expect that to change for the Spurs and Kawhi Leonard — the face of the future — this year. PW

4) Golden State Warriors: Their only problem is they've got six guys who should be starting. Harrison Barnes was an effective post-up guy in the playoffs, but he might be stuck on the bench. Expect a potential move during the season. PW

5) Memphis Grizzlies: People are down on the Grizz, saying they had their chance last year (helped by the Westbrook injury), but I love their core, Mike Conley just gets better and stats guru John Hollinger in the GM seat won't make any dumb, rash moves. PW

6) Houston Rockets: Prove me wrong, Dwight Howard. Prove that you can be a winner on a team that's not all about you. Prove that you can shoot better than 50 percent on free throws. If you do, you might help James Harden take this team very far. PW

7) Minnesota Timberwolves: Did you know that no team has had a longer playoff drought than Minny? Yeah, I was surprised, too, that 2004 was the last time the T-Wolves — led by a KG character — made the postseason. It's time to return, even if to get swept in the first round. PP

8) Dallas Mavericks: Mark Cuban has publicly said Dirk is ending his career as a Maverick, so there will be no rebuilding. Instead, he'll add pieces like Jose Calderon and Ellis and see what happens. PP

9) L.A. Lakers: I'm only putting them this high because of Kobe "Bean" Bryant, easily the most competitive player in the league. He'll return from that Achilles earlier than anyone expects, hit some game-winners, and make the case for a certain someone joining him and Pau Gasol in the summer (even though he'll be 36). PFL

10) Denver Nuggets: How do you go from a No. 3 seed to a team just fighting for a playoff spot? You lose your Executive of the Year (Masai Ujiri), fire your coach of the year (George Karl), and let your defensive cornerstone (Andre Iguodala) bolt for Golden State. SIDK

11) Portland Trail Blazers: I actually like this team and what they're doing. Unfortunately, with rookie C.J. McCollum out six weeks and living in the crazy-competitive West, they'll end up short of their playoff dream — and end up in the Wiggins sweepstakes. PP (but PFW by happenstance)

12) New Orleans Pelicans: I'm sorry, but any team that puts effort into acquiring Tyreke Evans and believes Eric Gordon will actually be healthy doesn't know what it's doing. It's sad, too, because Anthony Davis is special and Monty Williams knows how to coach. SIDK

13) Sacramento Kings: This team won't necessarily tank. It will just be really bad, especially if Boogie Cousins has more meltdowns. That means lots of lottery balls. PFW

14) Utah Jazz: Similar to the 76ers, if scaled-down a bit, the Jazz have a plan. Their hope is for youngsters Enes Kanter (21), Derrick Favors (22), Gordon Hayward (23) and rookie Trey Burke (20) to grow and improve together. And if a No. 1 picks comes along, well even better. PFW

15) Phoenix Suns: Phoenix has finally come to terms with the the fact it's a really bad basketball team and execs need to stop watching Steve Nash highlight films. Unloading Marcin Gortat was a start. Goran Dragic should be next to go, which would give Eric Bledsoe free reign over a team of nobodies. PFW

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Playoff predictions
EAST: Miami Heat def. Chicago Bulls (7 games) — I really want to take the Bulls and possible MVP Rose. But this will clearly be the Heat's last hurrah with their Big Three, and LeBron will be transcendent in this series.

WEST: L.A. Clippers def. Oklahoma City Thunder (6 games) — Call me crazy, but I think Doc can take a team that got run off the court in the first round in 2012-13 and lead it to the finals. The additions of J.J. Redick and Jared Dudley will help on the offensive end. Jordan will be the ringleader on the other end. And I didn't even mention Chris Paul.

FINALS: Miami def. L.A. (6 games) — Matt Barnes will do all he can to get under LeBron's skin, but James will be too much for the Clippers. Throw in the clutch shooting of Ray Allen and Greg Oden providing that big body to contest Blake Griffin and Jordan, and the Heat will take home their third title in a row.

Of course, the real drama will have played out weeks before when the PFW is decided by ping-pong balls. ENJOY!

For my basketball insights, follow me on Twitter @jakelam2116

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

The origins of my Detroit Tigers fandom and why the losses sting so much

The hat.

I feel the need to write. I feel compelled to log my thoughts, my emotions — as silly as they may be — here. I'm now maybe 90 minutes removed from another crushing Tigers loss, 1-0 to the Red Sox.

Less than 48 hours ago, my favorite baseball team seemed well on its way to a 2-0 series lead in the ALCS. Not only that, but they would then board a plane for Detroit, where Mr. Scoreless Innings Justin Verlander and 43,000-plus screaming supporters awaited.

Now?

They're down 2-1. They haven't scored a run in 12 innings. Even potential back-to-back MVP Miguel Cabrera couldn't punch a ball into the outfield with runners on the corners and just one out in the bottom of the eighth. And I feel like the streak of the Tigers not winning a World Series since I was a nine-month-old in diapers is going to continue.

That's why I'm down in the dumps. That's why I called my Mom on a Tuesday night to vent. I usually wait until Sunday. And that's why I can't even muster the excitement to begin the third season of one of the best TV shows of all time, Breaking Bad.

Yes, it's that bad.

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For a variety of reasons, I'm not as fanatical as I once was.

I'm two months shy of 30; I've viewed sports through the lens of a journalist since I took newspaper writing for the first time as a junior at Pioneer High School; and, frankly, I'm annoyed by most sports fans, their machismo, and their ignorance (especially in the Internet age).

But there are two teams I remain an ardent supporter of, a pair of teams that I follow closely and, come the end of their seasons, base my schedule around.

Michigan basketball.

Detroit Tigers baseball.

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I spelled out my passion for Michigan hoops in a column I wrote the weekend of their amazing Final Four run last season. And with the upcoming campaign just two weeks away, I'll save my words about the program for down the road.

I'll just say this, because it relates to why the Tigers mean so much to me: I've been invested in Wolverines basketball because of the program's hardships and how low it sunk. Watching its revival under John Beilein has been the most satisfying thing I've ever experienced as a sports fan. Ever.

With Mom at a Tigers-Orioles game in 2011.
My Tigers fandom is similar, but it goes back further.

I was a diehard as a kid, baseball my first love. We didn't have a TV at our old house on Pontiac Trail in Ann Arbor, so I'd listen to every game on the radio. It didn't matter whether I was in the basement working with Dad on a project, in the driveway washing the old Honda, or in the kitchen helping the parents prepare their annual batch of homemade pesto — the radio was tuned to WJR-760.

Some years, the iconic Ernie Harwell was on the call. Other years, it was Frank Beckman. Harwell was a legend, but I enjoyed whoever delivered the call. I remember one year sending a letter to the Tigers broadcasting team, thanking them for bringing me Tigers games every day.

As long as I had Tigers baseball, my world was complete. I revered the likes of Cecil Fielder, Alan Trammell and Lout Whitaker. I even had a soft spot for Tony Philips. On the rare days when Harwell's or Beckman's smooth voice wasn't quite enough for me, I walked through our large backyard to neighbor Nelly's house. The old, black lady was the nicest person in the world and a huge sports fan. She'd let me in and we'd watch together. I'll never forget my times with Nelly.

Of course, the Tigers stunk. They put together just two winning seasons during my formative years. The season spanning the end of high school and beginning of college, they bottomed out — just barely avoiding MLB infamy with 119 losses in 2003.

As I started studies that August at Albion College an hour west of Ann Arbor, I was as uninterested in the Tigers as I'd been 19 years prior when they won the World Series and I couldn't utter a word to celebrate.


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It was 1:30pm on an October Saturday afternoon in Byron Bay, Australia, and I couldn't believe what I was watching. On a small TV in a small room attached to the hostel, Magglio Ordonez had just sent shivers down my spine and goose bumps all over.

"The Tigers are going to the World Series! Three. Run. Walkoff. Home. Run."

I've since listened to the Dan Dickerson radio call dozens of times. The chills return with each re-run. 

I wanted to celebrate, I wanted to hug everyone in sight, but only a few people at the hostel even knew the rules of baseball. So I joined my spring break pal and Albion classmate Michael for a hike overlooking the Pacific Ocean, thinking about the Tigers 9,182 miles away.

Just days earlier, I had convinced my new friend Cheryl to accompany me at 3:30am to the only bar open within a mile of our Sydney hotel so I could watch Justin Verlander stifle the mighty Yankees in the Division series. 

In the 2006 World Series, all the games were at a saner 12pm in Sydney. 

I wish they hadn't been. All the momentum that the Tigers had from their sweep of the A's? All the positive feelings and optimism? It all disappeared, vanished with each error committed by a Detroit pitcher during the series against the Cardinals. Five games. Five errors.

At the time, I had just gotten into sports blogging. Here are two excerpts from my posts as a college senior studying in Sydney:

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After they lost Game 4, falling behind 3-1 in the Series:

OK,
... there comes a time in one's life when the most important thing happening is 5,000 miles away. That time is now. And it is not easy. I've watched every Tigers' playoff game except two. I've scouted out bars in which to watch the Tigs, I've woken up at 6 in the morning to watch 'em. I scheduled my work week perfectly so I could be off this morning to watch Game 4 of the WS.

And what do they give me? Another throwin' error by a pitcher? More missed opportunities with runners in scoring position? Man, I am dying now. But I'm not giving up on the Tigs. Mark my words: if Verlander finds a way to get the Tigers through Game 5, they WILL WIN THE WORLD SERIES. And I'll watch every remaining game in its entirety. 'Cuz, frankly, watching my team in the WS is far more important than touring some obscure Sydney suburb right now. And what would I usually be doing between 10:30 and 2 anyway? Probably just reading a basketball book (fun fact of my time here: I've already read 4 books for fun and just bought 3 more the other day - Moms would be proud).

Anyway, when you're watching Game 5 tomorrow, don't think you're all alone. I'll be watching, too, rooting on those mercurial Tigs, not giving up hope. After all, it makes me proud to say that two years ago I predicted a Red Sox comeback after that disastrous Game 3 loss. This situation for the Tigers is easier. Three wins in Three nights.

So while I'm attending my first Opera House concert tomorrow and tasting some fine Aussie cuisine, the only indicator of whether it'll be a good weekend is this: will the Tigers win 3 or lose 1?

jake


After the Game 5, series-ending loss

I know I should put it in perspective. I do. I really, really do. After all, I was one of the thousands who picked them to finish fourth in the division, just a dozen victories above the abysmal Royals.

So, as a journalist, I know my job: put it in perspective. But not now. Not yet. Maybe by the end of this column. We'll see.

I can't do it because of the way the Tigers lost in this World Series to the Cardinals. The Cardinals did not win this series. Mark it down. The Tigers lost the series. The Tigers beat themselves. Plain and simple.

You want numbers? You want evidence? I got it. How about five errors by the Tigers' pitching staff - all of them leading to unearned runs for the Cardinals. Even before rook Justin Verlander threw away an easy toss to third last night - costing the Tigers two runs (yes, equaling the final margin of the Cards' victory) - the Tigs had set a record for errors made in a World Series with four.

Ouch. Here, Fernando Rodney can pinpoint a nasty slider on the outside corner, but he can't put the ball near Placido Polanco's glove from 20 feet away in Game 4, costing the Tigers - who actually hit that game - a golden chance to even the series.

Here, Tigers wouldn't have won Game 3 anyway, but Joel Zumaya could have made it interesting for all of us watching at work by throwing to Brandon Inge at third and not five feet out of his reach.

Oh, well, it allowed me to get more work done.

Are you kidding me? The Tigers made Paris Hilton look flawless. I know the cliche's getting old, but it still holds.

Everyone was favoring the Tigers entering the Series; had a feeling that might be a poor harbinger. A team that had been under the microscope all year, doubted by the experts until the eve of the Series, suddenly weighed down by the pressure of people actually pickin you?

It's like your boys expecting you to get the gorgeous girl's number? If it don't happen you're in the dogouse and your confidence is shot. That's what happened to the Tigers.

They lost this series; Cards didn't win. Yes, the record books will show the Cards winning their 10th World Series, second all time to those Yanks. But those who actually watched the five games will know that the Cards were dealt a great dose of serendipity.

From their friends, the Tigers.


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My first Tigers playoff game: ALDS Game 3, 2011.
I'm older now (obvious statement of this column). I like to think I'm wiser, with better perspective than a college kid. But with heavier expectations comes greater disappointment. That magical '06 season made every long-suffering Tigers fan believe that a World Series was not just possible, but imminent. 

I haven't followed the team more closely than I did when they were terrible (although the Internet and the Twitter age help with that, especially living 500 miles from Detroit), but I've expected more. As the payroll's increased and the prognosticators have picked the Tigers, each lost season has been tougher to take. 

If this series ends the way it's heading, the number of seasons without a World Series will equal my age. I know that means nothing to Cubs and Indians fans — or Cleveland fans of any sport from my generation, for that matter — but we all live in our personal sports fandom bubbles. 

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Why do I root so hard? Why do I insist on wearing my torn-to-shreds Tigers hat that I bought at a mall in Philly 15 years ago and won't give up until they win a World Series? Why do I wake up neighbors with my yells of exasperation? 

It's simple, really. When you've never experienced something but have come so close to it, when you feel like it's not far from your fingertips, it's the most tantalizing. That's how last year's run to the national championship game felt for Michigan. And that's why I follow, so closely, each pitch thrown by or swung at (or, more likely, through) by the Tigers.

If and when that championship happens, things will change for me. I'm certain of that. I'll still be a Tigers fan, of course. I'll still watch the occasional regular season game. I'll still join Dad for our annual drive to Detroit, where we park in the abandoned old theater for $6 and walk a few blocks to the ballpark. Those traditions will never change. 

But life as a fan is different when you've tasted the pinnacle of your team's success. I don't think that can be denied.

I used to be a huge Michigan football fan. But then the Wolverines won the national title in 1997, and my interest has slowly waned (note: my overall separation from football over the past year due to all the research that's come out regarding concussions and CTE has also contributed). 

I was a gigantic Pistons fan, and I still follow the team somewhat closely. But no championship could create as much joy for me as the 2004 beatdown of the high and mighty Lakers provided. 

Those teams reached the summits of their sports while I was a fan. I no longer care nearly as much. I watch more through my usual viewing glasses — objectively, as a sports journalist. 

The Tigers and the basketball Wolverines have not gained that summit of success. They've both come from extremely low points to the precipice of championship status. And that makes each crushing loss just sting more.

Tomorrow night, I'll grab the ragged hat again and hope for a different result and a tied series. I'll probably try some reverse jinxing with Facebook posts and Twitter updates (it can work!). 

Whatever the final score, I'll call it a night knowing that the day when my fandom wanes will be when the last game of the season is a win.

Go Tigers!

— Jake

Sunday, July 7, 2013

Andy Murray thrives under the pressure of a nation, wins historic Wimbledon

We talk often about pressure in sports. The "great ones" thrive under pressure, others wilt. 

But what about when a single man, fair or not, must carry the pressure of a country on his shoulders? How does one person handle such a burden?

For the past eight Wimbledon championships, Andy Murray has played on the grass courts not so much for himself — although it is, technically, an individual sport — but for Great Britain.

With each passing year, Murray inched closer to winning the country's first title on Centre Court since Fred Perry — wearing pants — last accomplished the feat in 1936. And as Murray rose in the tennis rankings and then, last year, came agonizingly close — losing to Roger Federer in the finale, before winning his first Grand Slam at the U.S. Open — the weight increased.

That's why I chuckled but also found it appropriate for ESPN to ask, during its coverage of Sunday's final between Murray and Novak Djokovic, if a win by the Scot would mean more to him or Great Britain.

Great question.

Of course, Murray was the one tasked with defeating the world's No. 1 player to achieve the feat. And after three brilliant sets of scrambling all over the court, hitting running forehands and blasting 130-mph serves, the 26-year-old did just that.

Andy Murray def. Novak Djokovic 6-4, 7-5, 6-4.

In the late afternoon glow, Murray was able, for the first time, to talk candidly about the journey to Sunday's historic moment.

"It's hard, it's really hard," Murray said during his press conference about 30 minutes after Djokovic's backhand found the net on match point. "For the last four or five years, it's been very tough, very stressful, a lot of pressure.

"The few days before the tournament are really difficult as well, and the last two days are not easy. It's just kind of everywhere you go. It's so hard to avoid everything ... it's been very very difficult."

Imagine being in your mid-20s and feeling that millions of people are staking out their hopes on you winning a championship ... for them? It sounds silly, but it's an accurate portrayal of what Murray faced.

Now, the man can relax. Right?

"I think now it'll become easier," Murray said. "I hope it will, I hope it will."

If there's anything I've learned from watching hours upon hours of Grand Slam tennis during this golden age of the men's game, it's that the sport's greats separate themselves from the rest of the pack mentally. Physically, they're all about equal. They all crush the ball, all blast serves, all can volley at the net (well, at least most of them).

But when it comes to winning the big points, or coming back from down a break, or, hell, from down two sets to love, only a quartet of players over the past decade have proven they can survive.

Roger Federer, 17 major titles.

Rafael Nadal, 12 major titles.

Novak Djokovic, 6 major titles.

And Andy Murray, 2 major titles — including the most impressive of them all. 

"I think I've persevered," Murray said. "That's really been the story of my career probably. ... Every year I always improve a little bit." 

This is the pinnacle. Don't get me wrong — Murray will win more majors, potentially several. He and Djokovic, and Nadal when healthy, will have many more slugfests. But none of them will be more trying and tiring than this one for Murray.

It was a straight set victory, but it felt like a five-setter, the champion said. He looked out of the second set, down 4-1, but won six of seven games to gain all the momentum. Then he took the first two games of the third set and was up 0-30 on Djokovic's serve.

A double break coming? An easy final set?

Puh-lease. There was no chance this was going to end that way. When you're playing for something so big, so momentous, you have to earn every point, and that's what Djokovic forced Murray to do — the Serb winning four straight games.

In the final games — during yet another comeback — Murray showed off an incredible ability to chase down Djokovic's drop shots and hit topspin-heavy forehands down the line. He stole two points that the Djoker seemingly controlled to tie the set 4-4 and then break to get within a game of history.

And this is the part of the story that, minutes after it was finished, Murray could barely remember. He is human, after all. 

“I have no idea what happened," Murray said of the last point. "I can’t even remember."

Well, it took awhile for him to reach it. At first, it seemed he would cruise through the final game. With Murray up 40-0 and the crowd silently going delirious, Djokovic, who's OK in pressure situations too, dug deep and saved three match points. He then gained three break points — all saved by Murray.

Who the heck knows what would have happened had he gotten the break. Sure, Murray entered Sunday 76-0 when leading a match two sets to none, but the combination of the pressure and playing Djokovic could have yielded a different result.

But Murray didn't let the game slip away. Even if his mind was all over the place, as he admitted afterward.

"I worked so hard in that last game. It's the hardest few points I've had to play in my life."

"How that last game went was my head was almost everywhere."

"The last 30 minutes have been a bit of a blur."

"Toughest game I've played in my career. Ever."

Murray's feelings about one game sum it all up. The journey. The expectations. The weight.

Toughest. Accomplishment. Ever.

On Centre Court afterward, Murray was asked what he thought the millions of fans — inside Centre Court, where tickets were going for $15,000; strewn all about the grounds of Wimbledon; back in his hometown; and throughout the Kingdom — must have been going through during the match.

To which he, impeccably, replied:

"Imagine playing it."

Yes, Andy, that's all anyone but yourself can do. Well done, Wimbledon champion.